Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes: An ordinary person will look out the back window and say that its raining. A scientist will feel obliged to look out the front window and make sure that its raining on the other side of the house, too. Cats do the same, although they are not scientists, according to The Telegram. The standards for evidence in science are much higher than they are in ordinary life, which is why it has taken the scientists on the so long to announce the same conclusion that any ordinary mortal who looked into the question would have reached five or 10 years ago. The scientists really knew it, too, of course, but they couldnt yet prove it to the required standard and Thats the real message of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Changes report on the impact of warming on human beings, released this week. The main impact is on the food supply. Of course, everybody who was paying attention has already known that for years, including the scientists. Its just that scientists are professionally cautious and will not say anything that they cannot prove beyond any shadow of a doubt. Then he must consider the possibility that the drops that are falling on the windowpane are some other clear liquid, like vodka, and he must check that its not simply a back-projection onto the windows. Only then can he state with 95 per cent confidence that its raining. The other five per cent allows for the possibility that he might just be hallucinating.
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