Philip Tetlock: Daniel Kahneman

Daniel Kahneman: Taurus Apr 20 May 20 Psychologist Daniel Kahneman, who won a Nobel Prize in economics, says that consulting experts may be useless. In his study of Wall Street traders, he found their advice was no better than information obtained by a chimpanzee flipping a coin. Meanwhile, psychologist Philip Tetlock did a 20-year study with similar results. He found that predictions made by political and financial professionals are inferior to wild guesses. So does this mean you should never trust any experts? No. But its important to approach them with extra skepticism right . The time has come for you to upgrade your trust in your own intuition, according to NOW. Cancer Jun 21 Jul 22 Sorry, Cancerian, you wont be able to transform lead into gold any time soon. You wont suddenly acquire the wizardly power to heal the sick minds of racists and homophobes and misogynists. Nor will you be able to cast an effective love spell on a sexy someone who has always resisted your charms. Thats the bad news. The good news is this: if you focus on performing less spectacular magic, you could accomplish minor miracles. For example, you might diminish an adversarys ability to disturb you. You could welcome into your life a source of love you have ignored or underestimated. And you may be able to discover a secret you hid from yourself a long time ago and Aries Mar 21 Apr 19 On my 15th birthday, I finally figured out that eating dairy products was the cause of my chronic respiratory problems. From that day forward, I avoided foods made from cows milk. My health improved. I kept up this regimen for years. But a month ago, I decided to see if my long-standing taboo still made sense. Just for the fun of it, I gave myself permission to gorge on a tub of organic vanilla yogurt. To my shock, there was no hell to pay. I was free of snot. In the last few weeks, I have feasted regularly on all the creamy goodies I ve been missing. I bring this up, Aries, because I suspect an equally momentous shift is possible for you. Some taboo you have honoured for a long time, some rule you have obeyed as if it were an axiom, is ripe to be broken. Gemini May 21 Jun 20 I m a big fan of logic and reason, and I urge you to be, too. Using your rational mind to understand your experience is a very good thing. The less stock you put in superstitious head trips and fear-based beliefs, the smarter you will be. Having said that, I recommend that you also make playful use of your creative imagination. Relish the comically magical elements of your mysterious fate. Pay attention to your dreams and indulge in the pleasure of wild fantasies and see yourself as a mythic hero in lifes divine drama. Moral of the story: both the rational and the fantastical approaches are essential to your health. P.S. But the fantastical needs extra exercise in the coming weeks. (www.immigrantscanada.com). As reported in the news.